This blog examines the business implications of IT service trends ranging from software-as-a-service (SaaS) and cloud computing to managed services and other on-demand services.

November 23, 2008

On-Demand Services Face Escalating Challenges In Today’s Economic Crisis

Today’s deepening economic crisis is testing the mettle of IT/business decision-makers, IT solution providers and technology investors alike.

IT and business decision-makers in nearly every industry must make cuts to their capital and operating budgets in order to offset rapid declines in business and tightening credit markets. In many cases, this is forcing them to fundamentally reevaluate the way that they acquire and utilize technology and business applications, and leading them to seriously consider various on-demand service alternatives such as Software-as-a-Service (SaaS), cloud computing, and managed services.

I have recently suggested in commentaries in Datamation and the Business Technology Roundtable that any IT/business decision-maker who isn’t seriously considering these on-demand alternatives is doing their organization a disservice and could be jeopardizing their jobs.

THINKstrategies’ latest customer survey in conjunction with Cutter Consortium clearly shows that organizations of all sizes are adopting SaaS solutions to reap the economic and functional benefits of these on-demand services.

However, many of my clients are also reporting that they are putting a hold on all spending until they get a clearer picture of the state of the economy in 2009. In addition, many are also issuing requests for information (RFIs) to their current suppliers, including SaaS companies they are already using, to obtain additional financial data that can help them determine which vendors are most likely to survive a worsening economy. This is the first step of a broader initiative being undertaken by many of these companies to weed out those suppliers who may fail in the coming months.

Proving their long-term financial viability will become a key challenge for many SaaS, cloud computing and managed service providers (MSPs). Compounding this problem is the growing anxieties within the venture capital (VC) community which is facing severe pressures from their limited partners (LPs)–financial institutions, universities and others–who have been seriously impacted by the economic meltdown. With many of these LPs threatening to renege on their original commitments, the VCs are carefully scrutinizing and setting higher standards for their current and prospective portfolio companies alike.

As a consequence, many of the SaaS, cloud computing and managed service companies who were hoping to capitalize on the current crisis by increasing their sales and marketing efforts to promote their business benefits in a down economy are being forced to go slow or even cut back their spending instead. Many of these on-demand service companies are also facing longer sales cycles as customers delay their purchase decisions and demand more information about the providers’ operations and financial status as a part of their due diligence process.

Given that THINKstrategies’ SaaS Showplace already has over 900 companies from around the world offering over 4500 SaaS solutions organized into 80 Application, Industry and Enabling Technology categories and there may be twice that many companies actually offering on-demand services, an industry shakeout is inevitable and likely to happen sooner than expected.

These trends were the focal point of the recent Software Business and SIIA On-Demand conferences I participated in over the past few weeks. While Salesforce.com’s Dreamforce user conference was a celebration of the accelerating capabilities of cloud computing and SaaS, the Software Business and SIIA On-Demand conferences where more somber industry events were concerns about today’s economic environment were the center of attention.

I think the reality is somewhere between the euphoria and despair these two events. The measurable benefits and growing number of customer success stories that on-demand service providers can boast give them a clear long-term advantage over traditional, on-premise software and systems. However, these companies will face stiffer challenges from incumbent players and conservative decision-makers.

An indication of the competitive challenges facing SaaS and cloud computing vendors was provided by Anthony Lye, the Senior Vice President of Oracle’s customer relationship management (CRM) division, at the SIIA On-Demand conference. Lye spent about 30 minutes of what was supposed to be a “Point/Counter-Point” keynote session challenging the fundamental benefits of on-demand solutions and questioning the long-term viability of the on-demand services model, despite the fact that he is responsible for running Oracle’s on-demand CRM solution which has experienced significant growth over the past year.

Lye’s tough-minded presentation was an example of the same kind of subtefuge which his boss, Larry Ellison, the Chairman/CEO of Oracle, has been conducting for the past year with his own statements aimed at discrediting the on-demand services market despite the fact that Oracle is one of the largest suppliers of databases and middleware for SaaS and cloud computing vendors. (Click here to read THINKstrategies’ profile of Oracle’s SaaS enablement platform strategies and solutions.)

On-demand service providers will have to do a better job than Zach Nelson, the CEO of NetSuite, did at the SIIA conference. Nelson was supposed to offer a SaaS industry response to Lye’s incumbent software vendor (iSV) arguments, but he chose to side with Lye instead and distance NetSuite from the rest of the SaaS community. Rather than dispute any of Lye’s contentions and misrepresentations of the SaaS model, Nelson decided to take only 15 minutes of his portion of the keynote session “debate” to promote NetSuite’s integrated software and new focus on the service industry based on its acquisition of OpenAir.

Anyone who wasn’t aware that NetSuite offers SaaS solutions would have thought it was a traditional software vendor based on Nelson’s presentation. It was a disappointing performance which will do little to endear NetSuite to the rest of the SaaS industry. Instead, it only reinforced the impression that NetSuite and Oracle have a mutual understanding about how they will complement rather than compete with one another.

So, the on-demand services movement will continue to be led by Salesforce.com, Google, Amazon, Facebook and other innovators. It will also be led by bold, new leaders. Although Marc Benioff of Salesforce.com is the figurehead of the movement and Treb Ryan of OpSource is another important evangelist. Josh James of Omniture has emerged as an important spokesperson as well. James delivered a captivating presentation at the SIIA On-Demand conference which elaborated on a similar talk which gave at OpSource’s SaaS Summit last February regarding the key management metric for measuring SaaS sales effectiveness–the ‘magic number’.

It will take bold ideas and actions to succeed in the on-demand services market going forward. The winning on-demand service companies will be those who can convey a compelling message regarding the fundamental business benefits of their SaaS, cloud computing and managed service solutions, and deliver these tangible results in a cost-effective manner.

Like the well known line from Charles Dickens’ book “Tale of Two Cities” goes, these will be the best of times and the worst of times for the on-demand services movement.

June 2, 2008

NetSuite Buys On-Demand Professional Services Automation Software Leader OpenAir

As the Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) “gold-rush” intensifies, industry consolidation is inevitable. The latest example of this consolidation process is today’s announcement by NetSuite that it intends to acquire OpenAir.

This announcement not only reaffirms the SaaS industry consolidation trend, but it also is the latest example of a company profiled by THINKstrategies being acquired shortly thereafter. Other examples include,

(Contact me if you’d like a copy of our Strategic Thinking profiles on these companies.)

I had the privilege of talking with Zach Nelson, CEO of NetSuite, and Morris Panner, the CEO of OpenAir, moments before today’s announcement was made public. They indicated that the acquisition was based on a trend which THINKstrategies has seen coming for a few months now.

Prospective SaaS users are not only seeking more industry-specific SaaS solutions, they are also looking for more strategic sources for these SaaS solutions. Instead of contracting for a series of SaaS point products from a wide array of vendors, corporate decision-makers, both business and IT, are taking a closer look at the SaaS vendors’ overall portfolios, platforms, partner ecosystems and financial viability so they can establish broader, long-term relationships with a fewer number of SaaS suppliers.

While the OpenAir acquisition gives NetSuite a stronger foothold in the professional services market, I think the acquisition also gives NetSuite a stronger set of human resource management (HRM) capabilities in its horizontal portfolio of enterprise applications.

Although the acquisition is another example of a Boston-based tech vendor being acquired by a west coast based company, the good news for OpenAir’s employees and the Boston area SaaS community is that NetSuite plans to use the acquisition as a beachhead for further investment aimed at establishing a greater east coast presence centered in the Hub.

Interestingly, NetSuite refers to its OpenAir plans as based on Oracle’s acquisition model and plans to operate OpenAir as a stand-alone product group with tighter integration to NetSuite’s platform. This reference just reinforces market perceptions of the close alignment of NetSuite with Oracle, and keeps alive suspicions that NetSuite may be acquired by Oracle in the future.

In the meantime, Zach Nelson and Morris Panner told me they will do all they can to maintain OpenAir’s relationship with Salesforce.com via the AppExchange, and build on their other third-party relationships, including their respective channel partners.

Having gone through a number of unsuccessful acquisitions, I know first-hand about the various issues that can get in the way of these transactions achieving their business objectives. However, I think NetSuite and OpenAir have a very good chance of succeeding because they have the right combination of complementary executive personalities, solution capabilities, channel partners and geographic orientations.

The next question is what this acquisition means for OpenAir’s primary competitor, QuickArrow? My bet is that they will also be an acquisition target in the coming months.

March 17, 2008

Straddling the Hybrid On-Premise and On-Demand Worlds

With the Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) event season in full throttle, I’ve found myself consulting with a new generation of aspiring SaaS players who are trying to learn about the fundamentals of this rapidly evolving marketplace quickly so they can respond to changing customer requirements and capitalize on new market opportunities.

Starting with SoftLetter’s SaaS Sales and Marketing Seminar in Atlanta which has been upgraded to the SaaS University for Waltham, MA in June, and continuing with OpSource’s SaaS Summit last month in San Francisco, a widening array of incumbent software vendors (ISVs) and old-line technology vendors have approached me seeking help in their efforts to join the SaaS movement.

Some of these companies have lived well for years in niche markets, others have enjoyed cashcow businesses at a mass market level with hardware-based solutions. Now they see a combination of market forces fundamentally changing their worlds and they are trying to transform their business models quickly to respond to a rapidly changing competitive landscape and customer preferences.

Although established SaaS companies clearly understand the differences between the old and new worlds of on-premise software products versus on-demand software services, these new arrivals are still learning about the challenges, as well as opportunities associated with SaaS.

What all of these companies have in common is that they can’t afford to discard their legacy software business in order to capitalize on SaaS opportunities. Instead, they must adopt a hybrid strategy that can support the needs of their existing customers while satisfying the changing expectations of a new generation of software user, without ripping themselves apart in the process.

What these companies are learning is that living in a hybrid world requires two different approaches to software development and delivery, two different go-to-market strategies, two different sales and marketing methodologies, and two different types of personnel.

Agile development replaces the long upgrade cycles of the past. Hosting replaces packaging issues when it comes to software delivery. Online marketing and telesales are more important than direct sales or traditional resellers. And, business-oriented customer support becomes essential rather than tech support to ensure customer loyalty and reference-ability.

Underneath these tangible differences is the more fundamental and subtle differences in attitude between the on-premise and on-demand worlds. In the old world, making the software work was the customer’s problem. The customer bought the software before they were sure it worked, hired the consultants and staff to get it up and running, bought the infrastructure to properly support it, and notified the vendor if something went wrong or they needed more help.

In the new world, making the software work is the SaaS provider’s responsibility. The customer can try it before they subscribe to it. They don’t have to hire additional staff or purchase more servers. They may still hire a few consultants to help with a smaller assortment of deployment issues, or to help with change management and training requirements. And, the customer expects the SaaS provider to keep the software service up and running, and continuously enhance it.

Can traditional software and technology vendors straddle these two worlds?

I think the answer for many of these vendors must be the same as the famous line in the movie Apollo Thirteen, “Failure is not an option.”

The big ISVs–Microsoft, Oracle and SAP–have the deep pockets to finance this balancing act. Other ISVs like Business Objects and Callidus Software are also demonstrating that hybrid models can work.

The smaller firms will have to make sacrifices in order to traverse this transition process. Many are fortunate that they are privately-held companies that don’t have to satisfy Wall Street’s short-term time horizons, especially in today’s frantic economic climate. Others are equally fortunate to have a loyal installed base of customers who will patiently work with them to ensure that the migration process is successful.

But, in each of these cases there will be plenty of potential landmines which will require careful planning and cautious execution. Thoroughly understanding these potential pitfalls will be essential if these new SaaS players are going to succeed in the on-demand marketplace.

January 21, 2008

Platform Plays

Salesforce.com rolled out its Force.com Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) enablement platform last week after plenty of fanfare at its Dreamforce conference in September. The launch of the platform has sparked a new round of debates regarding the merits of Salesforce.com’s application development toolkit and its service delivery capabilities.

I’ve said many times in this blog and elsewhere, there is no more important or innovative player in the SaaS market than Salesforce.com. Every SaaS user and SaaS provider owes a debt of gratitude to Marc Benioff and Salesforce.com for pioneering the on-demand software services market and setting the standard for enterprise-class SaaS solutions.

While some elements in Salesforce.com’s strategies and solutions can be criticized as self-serving or ineffective, the company’s overall impact on the growth of the SaaS market cannot be denied.

Salesforce.com has set the bar for designing simple yet effective web-based business applications. It has shown how business applications can replicate the simplicity of popular on-demand services, while proving that SaaS can still meet the rigorous requirements of today’s corporate compliance regulations. It has also devised successful sales strategies for selling these applications to business end-users rather than IT departments.

Salesforce.com could have easily kept these accomplishments to itself in order to build its lead in the SaaS market, but wisely recognized that its long-term success depended on its ability to build an ecosystem of third-party applications and services around its core offerings.

This is the same strategy which has made every software company before it successful, including Microsoft, Oracle and SAP. These companies, and others, built their ecosystems and expanded their market penetration by making it easy for third-party developers to build applications on their software architectures. That is exactly what Salesforce.com set out to do with its AppExchange and is now extending with its Force.com platform.

Others may bicker about the iterative way in which Salesforce.com has evolved its platform capabilities and branding strategy from its AppExchange roots to its current Force.com form. But, what other company has created the same runway for SaaS solutions?

When it comes to SaaS platforms and partner ecosystems, the established players are still getting their acts together. Microsoft is a work in progress. Google is an enigma. Oracle is seen as primarily a database company. And, IBM is primarily good for middleware and hosting services. But, none has created a comparable set of platform tools and partner programs to match Salesforce.com.

Disclosure: Salesforce.com commissioned me to produce whitepapers regarding the Force.com and AppExchange.

November 12, 2007

Sights and Sounds at the SIIA On-Demand Conference

Last week’s second annual SIIA On-Demand Conference was a bellwether for the state of the Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) industry. Rather than being composed of the usual suspects of SaaS speakers—Salesforce.com, Microsoft, etc.—the event included an interesting mix of prominent players and start-ups who clearly demonstrated that we are well beyond the ‘why SaaS’ stage and deeply into the ‘how’ phase of this important movement.

The event opened with a packed house of over 300 attendees, many with senior executive titles, and a relatively new name to the SaaS market presenting. Donald Proctor, the Senior Vice President of Cisco Systems’ Collaboration Software Group kicked off the event promoting its vision of the next wave of inter-office SaaS solutions based on WebEx’s collaboration platform which Cisco acquired in March 2007.

Although I might suggest that this wave of inter-office SaaS solutions is well underway and the acquisition slowed WebEx’s Connect ecosystem efforts, Proctor’s SIIA presentation was a clear indication that the networking company plans to put its shoulder firmly behind a renewed campaign to establish WebEx as an important platform for SaaS developers and corporate customers.

Erik Larson, Director of Marketing and Product Management for Adobe Systems’ Business Productivity Business Unit followed the Cisco presentation with Adobe’s stance regarding corporate collaboration via SaaS solutions. He demonstrated Adobe’s enabling technology for SaaS applications, and described its vision for a web-based future.

My colleague, Phil Wainewright, moderated a customer panel which included a cross-section of large (Chevron) and small (Pacific Northwest Economic Region Tourism Division) organizations leveraging SaaS to achieve their business objectives. While their views were timely, Phil and I had hoped to recruit enough customers to fill two panel sessions rather than just one. However, SaaS providers are still having trouble convincing their customers to publicly endorse their solutions in this fashion.

I had the privilege of moderating a panel regarding integration challenges consisting of representatives of Boomi, Informatica, Interweave and Pervasive Software. They all boasted about their individual approaches to delivering integration on-demand and admitted that there is still plenty of customization required.

Three of the most interesting speakers presented on the second day of the conference.

Dr. Werner Vogels, the Vice President and Chief Technology Officer of Amazon.com described how his company has commercialized its internal operations platform to support SaaS companies’ storage and service delivery infrastructure requirements. In my view, Amazon has single-handedly resurrected the utility computing concept, and has made it work for a growing assortment of SaaS vendors and other business users. As a result, Amazon now looms as a major force in the on-demand marketplace, not just as a channel to market but also as an enabling vendor.

Jason Maynard, the software industry analyst for Credit Suisse and the strongest advocate of SaaS on Wall Street, suggested that on-demand solutions could create a new level of value which he called “Software as an Answer”. His concept reinforced the views I’ve espoused in my writings and consulting engagements that SaaS provides an unprecedented opportunity for vendors to aggregate, analyze and distribute data based on application usage patterns and statistics. This data can be used for benchmarking, marketing, sales and operations purposes. It can even create new business opportunities for entrepreneurs.

Anthony Lye, Senior Vice President of Oracle’s CRM OnDemand division, gave the SIIA audience a preview of the company’s new generation of SaaS solutions which will be unveiled at this week’s OpenWorld conference. They include an impressive user-friendly interface which borrows heavily from the best of the Apple iPod Touch, combined with a robust set of social networking and mash-up capabilities.

The most important message from Lye is that Oracle’s enhancements are not aimed at satisfying the needs of small- and mid-size businesses (SMBs), but to meet the growing demands of enterprise customers. This echoed Proctor’s presentation on behalf of Cisco. This shouldn’t be surprising given the recent partner agreement between Cisco and Oracle. Oracle’s PR machine will undoubtedly generate a stream of third-party endorsements of its new on-demand capabilities as part of its OpenWorld festivities, such as today’s announcement of an integration with Xactly.

These were important proclamations for a market where SaaS is too often viewed as a simpler and cheaper solution for SMBs alone. (A misconception reinforced by a recent statement by SAP.) Instead, Oracle and Cisco are confirming my longstanding view that SaaS offers unique capabilities which fit the escalating demands of an increasingly decentralized and financially strained enterprise market.

Ironically, some of the attendees who had not been to previous SIIA events lamented the conference was too focused on the enterprise. While I understand their frustration, I still believe the seriousness of Cisco and Oracle’s efforts to climb onboard the SaaS bandwagon will further legitimize this movement. This will lend greater credibility to SaaS as a viable alternative to traditional, on-premise legacy applications. In turn, SaaS will become that much more attractive to SMBs as well.

However, the SIIA conference also demonstrated that industry best practices regarding service provisioning and delivery, integration, support, sales and marketing are still embryonic. An example of the risks which the SaaS market must still withstand was the extended outage suffered by NaviSite. And an indication of the growing focus on service provisioning was the announcement by Aria Systems as the SIIA conference convened that it had closed a $4.0 million Series A financing round led by Hummer Winblad Venture Partners.

October 14, 2007

Legacy Software Contraction and the Tugboat Strategy

The consolidation of the legacy software market continued this past week with SAP’s announced plans to acquire Business Objects, followed by Oracle’s announcement that it intends to buy BEA Systems.

These transactions clearly indicate that the traditional, on-premise software market is undergoing fundamental changes. The most obvious driver of the latest announcements is the growing importance of business intelligence (BI) and analytics as a key ingredient in any meaningful enterprise application.

In an ideal world, these acquisitions would mean that customers no longer have to carry the burden of integrating these capabilities into their enterprise software environments. Instead, it would be logical to expect the business intelligence and analytics capabilities to become a ‘plug and play’ component of the SAP and Oracle’s software portfolios. However, it is more likely that these acquisitions will simply make their software solutions even more complex to implement.

SAP could mitigate this risk by leveraging the fast-growing Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) unit within the Business Objects to accelerate SAP’s own efforts to deliver a successful on-demand solution. However, I’ve been a part of too many acquisitions to believe that SAP will fully exploit this asset while it is also trying to absorb the full extent of Business Objects’ capabilities.

Meanwhile, Salesforce.com has taken a different tact to satisfy its customers’ BI/analytics requirements. Rather than acquire a company in this area or build its own BI/analytics capabilities, Salesforce.com has encouraged third-party companies to develop solutions which enhance its SaaS capabilities via the AppExchange.

By providing an assortment of application program interfaces (APIs) and web services that permit third-party integration with its core on-demand applications, Salesforce.com is able to meet its customers’ needs without having to make a direct investment in the added functionality.

I/THINKstrategies think the legacy software vendors (LSVs) can steal a page from Salesforce.com’s playbook and use a similar ‘tugboat strategy’ to move more quickly toward an on-demand capability.

Just like aircraft carriers can take a long time to turn around without the help of a fleet of tugboats, the LSVs can also be expected to take a long time to change their software architectures, revenue structures and corporate cultures in order to become viable on-demand software vendors unless they encourage an army of SaaS companies to integrate with their legacy software products to enhance and extend their core functionality.

Why would SaaS companies want to integrate with legacy software products?

To gain access to existing customers, in many cases enterprise customers they would not be able to access otherwise. Since it is unlikely that customers will discard their existing software products anytime soon, SaaS companies have a better chance of penetrating customer environments if they complement their installed software rather than displacing it.

Ironically, the LSV is less likely to be displaced if they get close to their ‘enemy’. Instead, they can use the SaaS companies to strengthen their positon within these accounts and in the market as a whole by attracting third-party on-demand functionality to complement their on-premise products. They can also get a first-hand glimpse at how the SaaS solutions work and evaluate potential acquisiton candidates.

These Machiavellian tactics are certainly in the repertorie of the major LSVs. They just happen to be exercising a different set of tactics in the latest round of acquisition transactions.

September 23, 2007

Reflections on Dreamforce, ZD’s Channel Summit and Verio’s Partner Event

Waiting for a delayed flight to Chicago from Vegas, as I try to make my way home to Boston, is an opportune time to recap a week of travels across the Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) and managed services landscape.

This past week began at Salesforce.com’s annual Dreamforce user conference. It was another lovefest that attracted a record crowd of over 7000 users, partners, press and analysts, up from fewer than 5000 a year ago. The 40% growth in total attendees was eclipsed by a tripling in the number of partners showcasing their on-demand capabilities, despite a big increase in the price for booth space.

The focal point of the event was Salesforce.com’s introduction of its new Platform-as-a-Service (PaaS), called force.com. The company also introduced a user interface on-demand solution (IaaS), visualforce.com. (Click here, to read THINKstrategies’ whitepaper regarding the new PaaS.)

These announcements are the latest examples of the company’s brilliant ability to continuously iterate its corporate capabilities and accompanying marketing messages to monopolize SaaS industry mindshare. Force.com is an extension of the development toolkit and Apex code Salesforce.com has offered to its customers and partners for the past year.

Salesforce.com has been moving toward positioning itself as a platform player for a while, but the PaaS announcement was the clearest assertion of its intentions in this area to date.

The company’s Chairman/CEO, Marc Benioff, even went so far as to suggest in his keynote unveiling of the PaaS and IaaS that these are the last pieces of the puzzle in Salesforce.com’s corporate portfolio. While this is hard to believe, it is clear Salesforce.com has recognized that, as the 800 pound guerilla of the SaaS market, it has the opportunity to capitalize on its success and resell the foundation of its on-demand applications to customers and other independent software vendors (ISVs) who want to accelerate their SaaS development cycles, overcome their service delivery challenges, and leverage proven on-demand tools.

Despite the significant new revenue opportunities and important strategic positioning potential of this move, Benioff assured Dreamforce attendees that Salesforce.com is not abandoning its primary application business which still has plenty of upside potential of its own.

Some SaaS watchers have questioned whether Salesforce.com can balance its platform and application businesses. This balancing act hasn’t defeated Microsoft or Oracle, but instead has made them stronger and has been a pivotal reason for their success. Like them, Salesforce.com has the brains and brawn to succeed at the platform level in the same way it has in its core on-demand application areas.

An indication of its brilliance and market strength is the amount of attention this week’s PaaS announcement generated among its competitors. The day of the announcement, NetSuite sent an email to industry analysts and press pointing out how it had beaten Salesforce.com to market with an on-demand platform and interface years ago. Yet, once again Salesforce.com’s marketing team has succeeded in generating far greater attention than the less flamboyant NetSuite.

SAP also tried to counteract the buzz surrounding Salesforce.com’s announcements by unveiling its latest effort to enter the SaaS market, Business ByDesign. While there were plenty of interesting aspects of SAP’s latest on-demand software plans, I’m taking a wait and see attitude given its failure to fulfill its previous SaaS promises. It is worth noting that SAP is only committing itself to a hosted rather than a multi-tenant solution. As a result, some SaaS watchers are discounting SAP’s offering. However, Oracle is doing quite well with a similar hosting approach. In my view, the more significant meaning of SAP’s latest promises is that it demonstrates how important the SaaS movement and Salesforce.com have become.

My week only began in San Francisco at Dreamforce, I then flew to Chicago for the Ziff-Davis Channel Summit where SaaS and managed services were on everyone’s minds as vendors and channel companies debated the potential impact of these trends on their mutual go-to-market strategies. I had the privilege to participate in a panel focusing on the organizational challenges facing established channel companies seeking to become managed service providers (MSPs). If you’re a faithful reader of this blog or my other writings, you would have found little new in our panel discussion. But, I was struck by the palpable tension between the vendors and channel companies regarding the market implications of the on-demand movement. Both parties will need plenty of help repositioning themselves in this rapidly changing marketplace.

I capped off the week in Vegas speaking at Verio’s Partner Summit where the company was unveiling its new Business Solutions portfolio of SaaS and managed services to its channel partners. Verio did a great job packaging and positioning the new portfolio to the satisfaction of its channel partners who responded positively to the new offerings and were eager to present them to their customers. While I’ll accept a little credit for helping Verio refine the packaging and positioning of its offerings, the company deserves the bulk of the credit for listening to its partners and telling them that the new offerings will be adjusted in response to customer and partner feedback.

My Fall travels are just beginning. This coming week, I’ll be back in San Francisco facilitating a client’s customer advisory council meeting, and then to NY for a client strategy session. The following week it is on to Charlotte for a Carolina SaaS Users Group gathering, and LA for another client strategy session. I’m then in Austin for Pervasive Software’s IntegratioNext conference and NYC where I’ll be speaking about SaaS at Interop.

So, as I crisscross the country and add frequent-flyer miles to my account, I’ll continue to give you my perspective regarding the latest announcements and trends in the on-demand market.

June 5, 2007

Google and Salesforce.com’s First Date Leaves Paparazzi Disappointed

Just like the frenzy and speculation that surrounds every high-profile couple before they tie the knot in today’s pop culture, the build up over the past few weeks around a pending announcement between Google and Salesforce.com was destined to fall short of many people’s overblown expectations.

Much of the speculation centered on whether Google would acquire Salesforce.com in an attempt to dramatically strengthen the search vendor’s foray into desktop and business applications. In March, I made my bet that Oracle would be the first suitor to try to capitalize on Salesforce.com’s meteoric rise in the on-demand business apps world.

Although I can certainly see the logic in a Google/Salesforce.com marriage, I thought it was premature for the companies to do this kind of deal at this stage. Unless, Oracle initiated a hostile takeover attempt for Salesforce.com, the on-demand vendor wasn’t incented to seek an acquisition elsewhere. And, Google had other acquisition priorities more closely related to its core business of online advertising to be in such a hurry to acquire Salesforce.com’s on-demand business app platform and ecosystem.

So, anyone who was waiting for an announcement of a Google/Salesforce.com merger was bound to be disappointed when they simply unveiled a strategic alliance overnight. This new formal alliance is based on a more informal working relationship which the two companies have built around their open application program interfaces (APIs) and web services platforms which have enabling third-parties to create ‘mash-ups’ for a while.

In their joint announcement and in a prior briefing which they gave me last night, the two companies revealed they will kick off their new formal relationship with a narrowly focused enhancement of the Salesforce.com for Google Adwords solution which enables companies to acquire and administer Google’s popular online advertising mechanism via Salesforce.com’s customer relationship management (CRM) and salesforce automation (SFA) applications. This integration process began with Salesforce.com’s acquisition of Kieden Corporation last August, a start-up built on Salesforce.com’s AppExchange platform aimed at leveraging the Salesforce.com’s apps to measure the effectiveness of Google Adword expenditures. The acquisition led to the rollout of Salesforce.com for Google Adwords.

What makes the new offering different and more significant than the existing service is that this is the first time the two companies have officially sat down to develop and deliver fully integrated joint solutions. The initial offering targets very small organizations that have not used Salesforce.com and/or Google Adwords in the past, and are looking for an easy, turnkey solution that makes the online advertising and sales management process simple and cost-effective.

While this might look like a non-event, it is actually a logical first step for two companies who share a common vision about how they would like to disrupt the traditional software business. It also demonstrates that they are not joining together just to steal headlines, but are sincerely interested in building a strong working relationship which produces tangible business benefits for their mutual customers. They are also looking for ways that they can each extend their market reach through this alliance. In this first offering, they have succeeded by making their existing solutions more accessible to a population of small companies who were previously reluctant to advertise via Google Adwords or adopt Salesforce.com’s on-demand CRM and SFA applications.

I expect plenty of press and analyst furor in the coming days that the Google and Salesforce.com announcement failed to meet the market’s unrealistic expectations.

However, I also expect the two companies to build on the success of their first joint offering and create a long-term relationship which may ultimately lead to the same place many had expected today, namely a merger of two very like-minded companies.

In the meantime, stay tuned for a steady stream of additional offerings which tighten the bond between the two companies, accelerates the adoption of on-demand solutions, and benefits not only Google and Salesforce.com’s mutual customers, but also their respective ecosystems of strategic partners.

March 28, 2007

SAP Loses Its SaaS Champion

SAP announced today that Shai Agassi, president of its product and technology group and architect of SAP’s Netweaver software, is leaving the company to pursue his interests in alternative energy and climate change.

While these are honorable reasons to move on, it is very likely that his departure was also prompted by the overwhelming challenges associated with migrating SAP’s software to an on-demand, Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) model, as well as some executive suite politics.

In addition to his broader responsibilities, Agassi was the chief architect and senior champion for SAP’s on-demand efforts which were launched in February, 2006. He joined the company in 2001, when SAP acquired his company TopTier Software. He was also among several SAP executives considered a potential successor to Chief Executive Henning Kagermann, who recently had his employment contract extended through 2009, creating a bottleneck among his lieutenants, including Agassi.

Agassi’s departure compounds SAP challenges fulfilling its promise of delivering on-demand solutions which keep pace with escalating customer demands. Although the company announced that his position will be filled by a team of people, Agassi had the greatest cache and credibility inside and outside the company to drive SAP’s on-demand efforts.

His departure certainly raises enough concerns about SAP’s on-demand strategies and services to open the door for Salesforce.com and other SaaS vendors to steal away customers seeking on-demand solutions in the areas that SAP has traditionally served.

Although it is not a SaaS vendor, Oracle Corporation will also capitalize on Agassi’s departure and intensify its campaign against SAP which has included its acquisitions of PeopleSoft, Siebel Systems and most recently Hyperion.

Agassi’s departure is also the latest example of executive defections among legacy enterprise application companies seeking to migrate to an on-demand services model. Tim Chou, the former head of Oracle’s hosting business, wrote the book on the challenges facing traditional software companies in the face of the on-demand movement, called “The End of Software.” Ken Rudin, a veteran of Siebel Systems’ on-demand efforts, is now the founder and CEO of LucidERA.

Executive defections from entrenched players to promising start-ups aren’t new. In this latest example it will be interesting to see if Agassi pursues his noble interests in alternative energy and climate change, or leverages his on-demand experience and joins a true SaaS vendor. Or, if SAP uses this as an opportunity to acquire a SaaS vendor to obtain a new leader for its on-demand efforts.

March 6, 2007

Changing Business Intelligence Landscape

While much of the information technology (IT) industry and many CIOs, concerned about their traditional legacy business intelligence (BI) applications, were focused on the market implications of Oracle’s acquisition of Hyperion Software, new entries into the market may represent a more important milestone in the evolution of this segment of the software industry.

On March 6, 2007, LucidERA unveiled its new Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) business intelligence solution. The company is founded by one of the truly good guys of the industry, Ken Rudin, who also has a unique perspective on the opportunities and challenges represented by the SaaS model.

Ken started his career at Oracle. He then co-founded and was CEO of Emergent Corporation, a consulting firm focused on data warehousing projects for Fortune 500 companies which was sold to Keane, Inc. in 1999. At that point, Ken joined a new company, called Salesforce.com, where he became SVP of Products. He then moved to Seibel Systems where he became the VP and General Manager of the company’s CRM OnDemand solution. When Seibel was acquired by Oracle, Ken moved on to become a founding advisory board member of NetSuite.

These experiences have driven him to launch LucidERA to challenge the established BI players with a pure SaaS alternative. Ken and I first met a year ago at a Pacific Crest investors conference, and have been on various industry panels together since. Drawing on his vast industry experience, Ken is one of the most compelling industry speakers regarding the fundamental challenges facing incumbent software vendors (ISVs) as they attempt to transition to a SaaS model.

Based on his industry experience, Ken recognizes that long-term success in the software industry, as well as within the SaaS movement, depends on building a solid platform rather than creating hot products. In response, LucidERA is positioning itself as an on-demand BI platform provider, rather than just an on-demand BI application vendor. In this role, it will supply a set of BI applications and integration tools, called ‘data connectors’, to permit other developers to link their solutions into the LucidERA’s platform.

LucidERA isn’t the only new player entering the BI market with a SaaS strategy in mind. Oco has been building hosted BI solutions for customers for a number of years. The company recently announced that it had obtained $10 million in a Series C financing from Highfields Capital Management LP, as part of a total Series C issuance of $14.5 million. The company intends to use this new round of funding to shift its business from a project-oriented, hosted BI solution model to a true, multi-tenant SaaS model.

In addition to announcing its latest round of funding, Oco also introduced its new President/CEO, William (Bill) Copacino, formerly Accenture’s Group Chief Executive for Global Business Consulting, responsible for its BI and supply-chain management consulting practices. While Copacino certainly comes to Oco with plenty of expertise in the BI world and probably has a solid Rolodex to get CXO-level meetings, he lacks experience in the software business, especially in the rapidly evolving SaaS world.

Not to be overlooked in the rapidly changing BI market are recent acquisitions by Business Objects and Cognos to strengthen their positions in the SaaS market.

Don’t be surprised if you see Salesforce.com and many of its AppExchange partners, who collect and analyze data from multiple sources, attempt to shave off a portion of the BI market for themselves.