THINK IT Services

I’m sorry to see that the new year and today’s severe economy crisis haven’t rid the technology industry of old, outmoded thinking.

One of the most recent exmples is a blog post by ComputerWorld’s Mark Everett Hall entitled, “How SaaS Hurts a Fragile IT Economy”, in which Hall suggests that Software-as-a-Service solutions represent a threat to both IT professionals and the technology industry because SaaS commoditizes traditional, on-premise IT systems and software applications.

Of course, what Hall fails to recognize is that customers are migrating to SaaS, as well as a broadening array of cloud computing services, because legacy systems and applications failed to fulfill their promises or justify their costs. And, in today’s economic environment and rapidly changing marketplace, few companies can continue to accept the exorbinant costs, complexities and risks associated with legacy apps and systems.

In contrast, SaaS and cloud computing are proving to not only be more cost-effective but also delivering superior functional capabilities which are better geared toward meeting the changing economic, competitive, workplace and ecological (think green) requirements of today’s world.

I’m finding that enlightened IT executives and staff are quickly discovering that SaaS/cloud computing isn’t the enemy and a threat to their jobs, but a welcome relief to the day-to-day challenges they’ve faced deploying and managing needlessly complex legacy systems and software.

Because SaaS solutions and cloud computing services are proving to fulfill the business requirements of their end-users at a more economical price, the IT department can finally focus on more important corporate priorities and initiatives rather than constantly responding to the daily firefights of keeping their systems and software up and running.

It is for these reasons that THINKstrategies’ most recent survey, conducted in conjunction with Cutter Consortium, found that SaaS adoption is not only accelerating but achieving unprecedented customer satisfaction, renewal and referral levels.

Hopefully, Hall and other trade press reporters who are prone to view every new trend with skepticism will learn about the positive realities of SaaS and cloud computing in 2009.

I’m committed to promoting the IT and business benefits of SaaS. That’s why THINKstrategies’ launched the Best of SaaS Showplace Awards program earlier this week. Click here to read more.

I’ve been suggesting for a few months that the Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) and ‘cloud computing’ market has been experiencing a ‘gold-rush’ era of accelerated growth. The rapid adoption of SaaS solutions was confirmed by THINKstrategies’ latest survey in conjunction with Cutter Consortium.

Just like in the original gold-rush of the 1800s, today’s ‘cloud-rush’ is not only attracting a proliferation of players, but also an assortment of unsavory characters.

The scandal surrounding IT Factory of Denmark is the most recent example. If you haven’t been keeping track of this one, it is worth reading about. The company’s CEO, Stein Bagger, disappeared before Thanksgiving after financial ‘irregularities’ were discovered at his company and a half billion kroner were found to be missing from the company’s bank accounts. Bagger is presumed to be hiding out in Dubai, and his company has fallen into bankruptcy.

The scandal doesn’t only affect the company’s employees, customers, partners and creditors. It also is a black-eye for the tech industry. As TechCrunch reports, just this September the Danish version of Computerworld named IT Factory “Denmark’s Best IT Company 2008″.

Another scandal involving a SaaS company unfolded in October. In this case, Entellium’s CEO and CFO were arrested for keeping two sets of books to disceive the company’s board of directors and investors. The company is facing bankruptcy and its assets are likely to be sold to another vendor.

Once again, the impact of this scandal extends beyond the company’s employees, customers, partners and investors. Entellium won numerous industry awards for the quality and innovative nature of its SaaS solutions from a variety of industry associations and publications before the company’s executives were discovered to be cooking the books.

While these might be isolated cases, they are a clear indication that the SaaS/cloud computing market has grown to the stage in which it is likely to be a target for more of this type of deceitful behavior.

For instance, I’ve even discovered a new online directory which is structured curiously like my SaaS Showplace and includes almost an identical list of companies which is attempting to exploit the SaaS/cloud computing market.

These ethical threats to the SaaS and cloud computing movements could undercut the success which the on-demand services marketplace experienced over the past year, and could combine with the uncertain economy to derail the momentum many SaaS/cloud computing companies were anticipating in 2009.

All of us who have worked hard for years building the SaaS/cloud computing market will have to work even harder now to combat these threats and safeguard the integrity of the on-demand services industry from these opportunistic, scurrilous characters.

Today’s deepening economic crisis is testing the mettle of IT/business decision-makers, IT solution providers and technology investors alike.

IT and business decision-makers in nearly every industry must make cuts to their capital and operating budgets in order to offset rapid declines in business and tightening credit markets. In many cases, this is forcing them to fundamentally reevaluate the way that they acquire and utilize technology and business applications, and leading them to seriously consider various on-demand service alternatives such as Software-as-a-Service (SaaS), cloud computing, and managed services.

I have recently suggested in commentaries in Datamation and the Business Technology Roundtable that any IT/business decision-maker who isn’t seriously considering these on-demand alternatives is doing their organization a disservice and could be jeopardizing their jobs.

THINKstrategies’ latest customer survey in conjunction with Cutter Consortium clearly shows that organizations of all sizes are adopting SaaS solutions to reap the economic and functional benefits of these on-demand services.

However, many of my clients are also reporting that they are putting a hold on all spending until they get a clearer picture of the state of the economy in 2009. In addition, many are also issuing requests for information (RFIs) to their current suppliers, including SaaS companies they are already using, to obtain additional financial data that can help them determine which vendors are most likely to survive a worsening economy. This is the first step of a broader initiative being undertaken by many of these companies to weed out those suppliers who may fail in the coming months.

Proving their long-term financial viability will become a key challenge for many SaaS, cloud computing and managed service providers (MSPs). Compounding this problem is the growing anxieties within the venture capital (VC) community which is facing severe pressures from their limited partners (LPs)–financial institutions, universities and others–who have been seriously impacted by the economic meltdown. With many of these LPs threatening to renege on their original commitments, the VCs are carefully scrutinizing and setting higher standards for their current and prospective portfolio companies alike.

As a consequence, many of the SaaS, cloud computing and managed service companies who were hoping to capitalize on the current crisis by increasing their sales and marketing efforts to promote their business benefits in a down economy are being forced to go slow or even cut back their spending instead. Many of these on-demand service companies are also facing longer sales cycles as customers delay their purchase decisions and demand more information about the providers’ operations and financial status as a part of their due diligence process.

Given that THINKstrategies’ SaaS Showplace already has over 900 companies from around the world offering over 4500 SaaS solutions organized into 80 Application, Industry and Enabling Technology categories and there may be twice that many companies actually offering on-demand services, an industry shakeout is inevitable and likely to happen sooner than expected.

These trends were the focal point of the recent Software Business and SIIA On-Demand conferences I participated in over the past few weeks. While Salesforce.com’s Dreamforce user conference was a celebration of the accelerating capabilities of cloud computing and SaaS, the Software Business and SIIA On-Demand conferences where more somber industry events were concerns about today’s economic environment were the center of attention.

I think the reality is somewhere between the euphoria and despair these two events. The measurable benefits and growing number of customer success stories that on-demand service providers can boast give them a clear long-term advantage over traditional, on-premise software and systems. However, these companies will face stiffer challenges from incumbent players and conservative decision-makers.

An indication of the competitive challenges facing SaaS and cloud computing vendors was provided by Anthony Lye, the Senior Vice President of Oracle’s customer relationship management (CRM) division, at the SIIA On-Demand conference. Lye spent about 30 minutes of what was supposed to be a “Point/Counter-Point” keynote session challenging the fundamental benefits of on-demand solutions and questioning the long-term viability of the on-demand services model, despite the fact that he is responsible for running Oracle’s on-demand CRM solution which has experienced significant growth over the past year.

Lye’s tough-minded presentation was an example of the same kind of subtefuge which his boss, Larry Ellison, the Chairman/CEO of Oracle, has been conducting for the past year with his own statements aimed at discrediting the on-demand services market despite the fact that Oracle is one of the largest suppliers of databases and middleware for SaaS and cloud computing vendors. (Click here to read THINKstrategies’ profile of Oracle’s SaaS enablement platform strategies and solutions.)

On-demand service providers will have to do a better job than Zach Nelson, the CEO of NetSuite, did at the SIIA conference. Nelson was supposed to offer a SaaS industry response to Lye’s incumbent software vendor (iSV) arguments, but he chose to side with Lye instead and distance NetSuite from the rest of the SaaS community. Rather than dispute any of Lye’s contentions and misrepresentations of the SaaS model, Nelson decided to take only 15 minutes of his portion of the keynote session “debate” to promote NetSuite’s integrated software and new focus on the service industry based on its acquisition of OpenAir.

Anyone who wasn’t aware that NetSuite offers SaaS solutions would have thought it was a traditional software vendor based on Nelson’s presentation. It was a disappointing performance which will do little to endear NetSuite to the rest of the SaaS industry. Instead, it only reinforced the impression that NetSuite and Oracle have a mutual understanding about how they will complement rather than compete with one another.

So, the on-demand services movement will continue to be led by Salesforce.com, Google, Amazon, Facebook and other innovators. It will also be led by bold, new leaders. Although Marc Benioff of Salesforce.com is the figurehead of the movement and Treb Ryan of OpSource is another important evangelist. Josh James of Omniture has emerged as an important spokesperson as well. James delivered a captivating presentation at the SIIA On-Demand conference which elaborated on a similar talk which gave at OpSource’s SaaS Summit last February regarding the key management metric for measuring SaaS sales effectiveness–the ‘magic number’.

It will take bold ideas and actions to succeed in the on-demand services market going forward. The winning on-demand service companies will be those who can convey a compelling message regarding the fundamental business benefits of their SaaS, cloud computing and managed service solutions, and deliver these tangible results in a cost-effective manner.

Like the well known line from Charles Dickens’ book “Tale of Two Cities” goes, these will be the best of times and the worst of times for the on-demand services movement.

THINKstrategies’ fourth annual Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) customer survey, in conjunction with Cutter Consortium, revealed that 63% of the responding organizations are using a SaaS solution, almost double the 32% who were using SaaS solutions in 2007!

Over the past four years, THINKstrategies and Cutter have been charting the growth of the SaaS market with a series of yearly customer surveys. Our surveys were the first to find widespread interest and substantial adoption of SaaS in 2005.

In 2006, we began to see businesses of all sizes adopting SaaS solutions specifically designed to meet their vertical market needs, as well as their horizontal application requirements.

In 2007, we found customers were beginning to examine the platform capabilities of SaaS vendors as they sought to identify those vendors that could serve as strategic sources for their SaaS requirements. We also found growing acceptance of SaaS solutions by IT professionals who were beginning to adopt SaaS solutions to help them better manage their IT operations.

This year, our vanguard research has uncovered a new round of important market trends that have implications for IT and business decision makers, SaaS providers and independent software vendors (ISVs), channel companies, integrators, and investors. In addition, our survey found customer satisfaction has risen to a whopping 97% of responders!

Click here to obtain the first of a series of three Executive Update reports based on our latest SaaS survey results. Contact me if you’d like to discuss the implications of our findings on your company, or to learn more about our services aimed at helping companies capitalize on SaaS to achieve their business objectives.

Since the holidays are traditionally a time for people to take stock of the year past and offer their new year forecasts, here are my top ten predictions why the shift from packaged products to Software-as-a-Service (SaaS), utility computing and managed services will accelerate in 2008:

1. Services are Recession Proof: Escalating oil prices, the uncertain political landscape and faltering financial institutions beset with the aftereffects of the sub-prime lending debacle could mean a tough year for the economy. In this tenuous climate, consumer and executive confidence could decline, leading to an economic slowdown. As a result, many companies could hold back on their capital investments to mitigate their risks. The ability to adopt on-demand services on a pay-as-you-go basis will be a perfect sourcing strategy for businesses seeking greater cost-controls and flexibility.

2. Everyone’s Going Virtual: Most industry pundits and participants view virtualization as a technology trend, but it is also a business trend. Employees are increasingly working outside the four walls of a traditional office. Gen Y workers are always on the move and online. Traditional, on-premise applications and centralized servers sitting behind a firewall can’t effectively serve today’s mobile workers. SaaS and managed services are perfectly suited for these new, virtual business requirements.

3. Amazon, IBM and Google Bet on Utility Computing. After experimenting with its Elastic Compute Cloud (EC2) for the past year, Amazon has found plenty of demand for its computing power on-demand platform from startups, as well as established companies seeking a ‘sandbox’ for their new initiatives. Amazon is now confident it can deliver its computing power in a reliable and cost-effective fashion to a broader market of business users. So, expect more aggressive PR and marketing efforts to promote and sell this powerful utility computing service.

IBM Blue Tune: IBM originated the term on-demand and then walked away from the utility computing market seeking new opportunities among the avatars. When Amazon proved that the utility computing concept could become a reality, IBM repackaged its autonomous computing ideas in the form of a new ‘blue cloud’ initiative. Big Blue will push the idea hard in 2008.

The GooglePlex Makes It Move. Google is tired of sitting on the sidelines while Amazon’s success and IBM’s new ‘blue cloud’ initiative, Google has initiated a PR campaign to promote its ‘cloud’ computing capabilities and strategies. The GooglePlex has long been considered the prototype for a new large-scale computing architecture. Now Google’s incredibly scalable and economical computing engine is getting the attention of business pubs like BusinessWeek, the Wall Street Journal and other mainstream pubs.

4. Nick Carr Returns: In truth, he never left us. It was Carr who gave utility computing a major push with his seminal article in the Harvard Business Review and follow-on book questioning whether IT mattered. Despite venomous criticisms from many IT pubs and professionals, Carr became a popular speaker at corporate events because his message resonated with business executives and end-users. Now, he is putting the finishing touches on his second book, The Big Switch: Rewiring the World, from Edison to Google, which will be published on January 7, 2008. Although IT folks love to hate him, Carr has never lost his luster among corporate executives and end-users who agree with his basic premise that IT is a needless hassle and should be as easy as electricity and as reliable as a utility.

5. SaaS Solves SOX: A year ago, most publicly traded companies and other large-scale enterprises rejected the idea of SaaS because they thought they needed to take greater responsibility for their own compliance requirements. Now, they view the process controls, auditability and offsite hosting features common in most SaaS applications as a perfect solution for their Sarbanes-Oxley (SOX) needs. As a result, enterprise adoption of SaaS will accelerate.

6. Managed Services 3.0, Unified Communications Services and Service Automation: In the 80s, managed services were really outsourcing agreements offered by carriers to their largest corporate customers. In the 90s, a new generation of standalone MSPs promised managed services for SMBs. Neither model succeeded.

Today, we are entering a new age of managed services. Managed Services 3.0 combines the experience of the past with powerful new technologies to respond to growing customer demand. Cisco Systems will be pushing its IP communications and WebEx capabilities hard, while Microsoft promotes the virtues of its various “software plus services” solutions. The two are on a collision course in the unified messaging and communications market, but that will mean that they will each spend plenty on market education and channel sales programs.

At the same time, Dell will be leveraging its SilverBack Technologies and Everdream acquisitions to deliver a new set of automated, remote desktop and server management capabilities through channel partners and direct support services. Expect to hear more from HP and others.

7. Carriers and Channel Companies Find Success With New Services: Carriers have been perplexed about how to package, price and promote profitable managed services. VARs have been afraid that SaaS would ‘dis-intermediate’ them by eliminating their consulting and custom application development business. Carriers now see an opportunity to deliver an integrated package of IT managed services and SaaS business solutions to add value to their commoditized dial-tone services. Channel companies are also discovering that there are still consulting and customization opportunities in the SaaS market. As a result, carriers and channel companies will lend their marketing and sales support to managed services and SaaS.

8. Failure Doesn’t Matter: NaviSite suffered an extended outage in November and the on-demand services movement didn’t miss a beat. The trade press is now looking for horror stories rather than success stories regarding SaaS and managed services, but the vast majority of stories have been positive. In fact, my third annual SaaS survey in conjunction with Cutter Consortium found 100% satisfaction among the companies currently using on-demand software services. The upcoming SaaScon conference will highlight some of these customer success stories. THINKstrategies will also spotlight these stories throughout 2008.

9. IT Discovers Services are the Solution: In the past, the IT department was the biggest barrier to managed services and SaaS adoption. Many IT professionals were afraid these on-demand solutions would eliminate their jobs. Now, a growing proportion of IT people see managed services and SaaS as a way to out-task mundane work or overcome complex application/technology deployment and maintenance responsibilities. As they learn to take advantage of these on-demand solutions, IT departments will finally be able to put their daily firefights aside and focus on addressing the strategic needs of their business users.

10. Wall Street Buys Into Services: Some of the most successful IPOs of 2007 were in the SaaS market. Wall Street loves the predictability of subscription services and now that it has a solid set of market ‘comps’ to measure business success in the services market, it will be encouraging more privately held companies to go through the IPO door. At the same time, private equity funds will be encouraging publicly traded software companies to go private to enable them to shift to a SaaS model without the public market pressures. And, the investment bankers will be pushing a wide array of M&A activity. Expect the offshore IT/business process outsourcers (IT/BPO) and business services companies to buy SaaS vendors. Look for more consolidation in the managed services market.

Bonus Driver of Services Growth in 2008: THINKstrategies will be expanding its consulting and marketing programs aimed at educating IT/business decision-makers about the benefits of on-demand services, and continuing to help software and technology providers develop and deliver successful service solutions. Stay tuned to the SaaS and Managed Services Showplaces for more information and insight about these new programs and features.