This blog examines the business implications of IT service trends ranging from software-as-a-service (SaaS) and cloud computing to managed services and other on-demand services.

May 20, 2008

THINKstrategies Launches New Market Leaders Webcast Series

THINKstrategies is pleased to announce the launch of its new “Market Leaders” webcast series which showcases companies who are delivering innovative, on-demand solutions to meet the rapidly changing needs of large-scale enterprises, as well as small- and mid-size businesses (SMBs).

Our webcasts differ from the traditional, structured webinar format by combining the candid, unscripted, conversational qualities of podcasts with the visual benefits of online presentations.
As the producer and host of the Market Leaders webcast series, my goal is to provide a more interesting and engaging discussion with senior executives of companies who are in the forefront of the on-demand market. The webcasts will be pre-recorded, archived and 20-30 minutes in length so you can view them whenever fits your busy schedule.

In our first webcast, we examine how the rapid growth of the on-demand market has created new operating challenges for entrepreneurs and established software vendors who must implement more robust systems to manage and track customer transactions from procurement to provisioning in a highly dynamic environment.

In this webcast, I talk with Steve Booth, VP of Business Development at Aria Systems, about how he sees this transaction management issue evolving, and the Monetization Maturity Model which Aria has developed to respond to this important challenge. Click here to view this webcast.

I hope you find this webcast valuable and welcome your feedback regarding our approach to this new series. You can also click here to read THINKstrategies’ whitepaper about the transaction management challenges and opportunities in the on-demand services market.

Please contact me if you’re interested in learning more about Aria Systems, THINKstrategies or this webcast series.

May 19, 2008

Measuring the Profitability of SaaS

Last month, Bruce Richardson of AMR Research published a provocative commentary entitled, “SaaS and the Elusive Path to Profitability” that heightened the debate regarding the financial viability of the Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) model.

Bruce’s column elaborated on a presentation he gave at SaaScon 2008 entitled, “Balancing Customer Acquisition Costs and Elusive Profitability.” The talk was driven by a question which Bruce claims to ask numerous software and service companies on a regular basis: “Do you know how much it costs to win a dollar of new business?”

Not surprisingly, Bruce has found that most SaaS companies are losing money acquiring new business in hopes of gaining long-term profitability over the life of the customer relationship. This has always been the logic behind the ‘land and expand’ tactics which are at the heart of almost every SaaS company’s go-to-market strategy.

In order to make his case, Bruce referred to recent annual and quarterly financial reports from the major publicly traded SaaS companies—salesforce.com, RightNow Technologies, NetSuite, SuccessFactors, and Taleo. In every case except Taleo, Bruce found high sales and marketing, R&D and G&A costs resulting in low or negative GAAP operating income.

What his analysis fails to do is fully recognize the trends lines, acknowledge the growing success rates and admit that many of his points simply reflect the stage of life of the SaaS movement.

Ironically, he identifies numerous operating improvements that have been achieved by each of the publicly traded companies, but treats them like they are simply financial compromises rather than the gains which come from the fundamental economies of scale of the SaaS model in a rapidly growing market.

For instance, if you look at the financial results of each of the companies Bruce identified over the past year they are all showing reductions in their relative sales and marketing, R&D and G&A costs. This is leading to lower customer acquisition costs for each of the companies.

Like Bruce, I spend a lot of time talking with senior executives at SaaS companies. While they all admit that the SaaS business isn’t easy, they have also told the SaaS market is evolving more quickly than they expected.

This trend has been confirmed by a number of industry studies which have reinforced THINKstrategies’ research and consulting work over the last 3-4 years.

Not only are companies of all sizes increasingly interested in SaaS alternatives, but they are accelerating their customer decision-making processes and reducing the salescycles for SaaS vendors. They are also signing bigger deals which promise greater margins for the SaaS providers.

For instance, salesforce.com has seen a steady rise in its average contract size and recently won a 55,000-user deal with Misys, a financial software provider. And, this deal pales in comparison to Workday’s announcement last week of a 200,000-user deal with global electronic components manufacturer Flextronics.

I had the privilege of talking to Workday executives prior to the Flextronics announcement who admitted that they’ve been surprised with the level of interest in Workday’s SaaS solutions and the speed at which customers are willing to make a purchase decision.

RightNow even reported to Bruce that most of its customers will make 5-6 additional purchases and spend 8x their initial purchase value over a three-year period.

Ironically, the SaaS financial model is built on the same economic principles which have been at the heart of the IT market research business since the 1970s—the annuity of predictable subscription services.

If you look at the quarterly and annual financial reports of Gartner or Forrester, as well as those of the privately-held firms, you’ll find that their most important performance metric is their annual contract value (ACV). This is the same metric SaaS companies use to measure their performance.

In fairness, Bruce identifies Taleo as an example of the profit potential of the SaaS model. He credits the company’s targeted sales and marketing approach as the major reason for its jump from an operating loss in 2006 to a $3.7M profit last year. I’ve seen the same tactic used by privately-held SaaS companies, such as Intacct, to significantly impact their financial performance.

While disciplined management deserves some of the credit, I’m sure Taleo’s executives would also admit, as others have told me, that market momentum is also helping to produce greater profit margins for many SaaS companies.

For the past 5-10 years, salesforce.com, RightNow Technologies, NetSuite, SuccessFactors, and Taleo have been burdened with the responsibility of educating the market about the viability and business benefits of SaaS. This evangelistic work required a significant investment in sales and marketing, R&D and G&A costs.

SaaS is entering a new stage in which the same level of evangelism and market education is no longer necessary. Instead, as SaaS gains mainstream acceptance and experiences broad-based adoption, SaaS companies must content with escalating competitive pressures created by the ‘gold-rush’ effect overtaking the SaaS industry.

However, the SaaS executives I’m talking to prefer this problem and are pleased to report that their cost of customer acquisition is dropping and account penetration is rising along with their profitability.

May 13, 2008

HP’s EDS Acquisition Misses Real Market Opportunity

HP’s decision to acquire EDS cannot be faulted when measured against all the standard metrics for doing a mega-deal in the traditional technology world. It gives both companies greater scale and access to more corporate customers without a lot of overlap.

The problem is that we are in the midst of a fundamental change in the way customers acquire technology and the way they perceive their vendors. The HP/EDS combination doesn’t fit this new world order.

There is no question that EDS strengthens HP’s hand when it comes to building and managing complex enterprise data centers. The acquisition also gives EDS ready access to HP’s installed base of customers.

Wherever there are big systems integration and ongoing management projects to be won, HP/EDS will be in a better position to compete with IBM and the off-shoring companies than they were a day ago as two separate companies.

However, many corporations are looking for new ways to leverage technology that permit them to be less dependent on traditional data centers. This no longer means simply outsourcing their data centers to the IBM’s and EDS’s of the world, but transforming where and how they obtain computing power.

Check the market stats of the leading research firms who follow the outsourcing business and you’ll see the number and size of traditional IT outsourcing (ITO) deals has been declining for the past few years.

Corporations are fed up with the hassles of managing their own IT operations, but they are equally dissatisfied with the poor track record of traditional ITO deals.

The ineffectiveness of legacy systems and software combined with the inflexibility of traditional ITO arrangements has driven a growing number of companies of all sizes to evaluate and adopt a widening array of on-demand Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) and managed services.

This is a shift I first identified in 2006. Gartner finally recognized this trend two years later when it proclaimed in January,

“…the outsourcing market has reached a tipping point with regard to utility delivery models, and that change and innovation will take hold and accelerate in this area through 2008 and beyond. More providers are developing utility-based offerings across infrastructure, application and business process domains. The trend toward software-as-a-service (SaaS) is gaining the most traction…”

Unfortunately, EDS brings nothing to the table when it comes to SaaS, managed services or other utility-based offerings. Instead, it saddles HP with lots of aging people, facilities and business ideas that haven’t kept pace with today’s realities.

Since HP has also failed to establish any thought-leadership or demonstrate any market leading capabilities in the SaaS or managed services markets, it isn’t likely that it will be a catalyst for change within EDS’ calcified operations.

So, the question is how long will it take for the EDS acquisition to bring HP down or can the combined entities wake up in time to respond to the changing marketplace?

Filed under: EDS, HP, IBM, ITO, outsourcing

May 8, 2008

Voice-as-a-Service Takes Shape

I’ve been telling people that the Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) movement will not only transform the software industry, but also dramatically impact the telecommunications and networking businesses as well. A recent company announcement which received limited press attention is another indication of the trend I see emerging.

Ribbit – calling itself “Silicon Valley’s first phone company” – announced earlier this week the general availability of Ribbit for Salesforce, the first enterprise application to link mobile voice communications and SaaS business workflow to allow users to configure their own communications services.

Ribbit’s new offering is being characterized as a ‘voice automation’ solution which accelerates the deployment of communications and integrates them with customer relationship management (CRM) capabilities via salesforce.com.

This solution promises to eliminate the complexities of communications deployment and management projects, and improve worker productivity by tying their communications devices into their CRM systems.

Ribbit for Salesforce is built on the salesforce.com’s Force.com Platform and was tested in a private beta program involving more than 70 businesses. It is now available to all U.S. customers of salesforce.com via the salesforce.com AppExchange.

It also creates new competitive challenges for traditional telephony vendors such as Alcatel-Lucent, Nortel and Siemens. It also creates new business challenges for traditional telecom resellers, as well as telecommunications carriers.

The self-provisioning capabilities and simplicity of administration offered by Ribbit’s solution, undercuts the value of traditional reseller and carrier’ consulting, integration and management services surrounding complex telephony equipment and services.

In case you think Ribbit’s solution will only appeal to a small circle of Silicon Valley tech-heads, be aware that the company has a community of over 4,000 independent developers building applications on Ribbit’s carrier-grade telephony-plus-software infrastructure platform. And, salesforce.com’s CRM and AppExchange solutions are rapidly being adopted by organizations of all sizes across nearly every industry.

May 5, 2008

Interesting SaaS Research and Resources

One of the benefits of being in the middle of the Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) market is getting exposed to a variety of interesting resources and research projects.

For instance, at last week’s Software 2008 conference in Las Vegas I was able to attend the kickoff presentation by Abhijit Dubey of McKinsey & Company which summarized the firm’s latest SaaS research regarding the evolution of on-demand platforms. Dubey and McKinsey have produced a series of research reports which have verified THINKstrategies’ SaaS survey studies regarding the accelerated adoption of SaaS. Even more importantly, their research clearly shows the total cost of ownership (TCO) and return on investment (ROI) advantages of SaaS for enterprise customers and on-demand platforms for software vendors.

THINKstrategies’ SaaS Showplace has also attracted plenty of attention as a resource for a variety of other research initiatives. For instance, THINKstrategies is supporting a financial benchmark study of the SaaS industry being conducted by OPEXEngine. OPEXEngine’s benchmarking survey is aimed at B2B software companies with 2007 revenues between $10M-$250 million offering SaaS solutions. Participants in this study will receive a confidential Company Performance Report and a detailed Industry Report that will cover key financial performance metrics. Click here for more information. Tell them THINKstrategies and Jeff Kaplan referred you.

THINKstrategies is also happy to support the research efforts of Professor Stéphane Gagnon of the Department of Sciences Administratives at the Université du Québec en Outaouais in Gatineau, Québec, Canada. The purpose of his study is to identify factors explaining the relative success of software components commercialized as XML Web Services, a sub-category of the SaaS market. This survey contains 11 questions with 60 data items. All the survey participants’ responses will remain confidential, and all data gathered will be published strictly in aggregate formats. The survey questions are available at http://www.gagnontech.com/saas.

And kudos to Peter Laird, an Architect at BEA/Oracle, who converted the contents of THINKstrategies’ SaaS Showplace into a terrific visual map of the rapidly changing industry landscape. I highly encourage you to visit his blog and give him feedback regarding his visualization of the SaaS marketplace.

Contact me if you’re conducting or have found interesting research or analysis of the SaaS (or managed services ) market.